LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with statement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and defeat the Longhorns in week two. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams seem to take over a spot in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point in the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 with three INTs into creating decisions that were several last week.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the best launching in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college football. This contains the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow , the Gators come in with the roar of Death Valley awaiting. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring defense keep this near? Or will Burrow and also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling and win the bet? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in Burrows skill . Hes transformed to a Heisman candidate, obtaining a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with one of the getting groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who will fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSUs additional competitions: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Even although its safe to say theyve yet to perform with a QB of the standard of Burrow florida now sits in 33rd. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami on the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has yet to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup while his awareness must improve in the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is the best in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and can be 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not outside of it. He also sprained a knee in the game and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
With the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to develop big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is regarded as DBU for the talent they have on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, if not longer, in 2019.
Would likely be out of all returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that enabled the least amount of downs this past year. It will be given a chance against a pressured Trask Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game this season going. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his approach to a 88-yard TD run last weekend. Despite that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also is going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and thats like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
It places ways pressure on Trask at a hostile atmosphere, When they dont buy Dameon or even Perine Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned admiration from the college football world following week. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining nearer than most.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, also Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not going to put up 45 or something close to this. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the staff has relied upon them the Gators defense will probably wear out with time. Marco Wilson will be the topic against the Chase or Jefferson into a late-game PIs.
But I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the proper bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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